BACKGROUND: NEW HAMPSHIRE'S UNAUDITED DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
The analysis of the National Election Data Archive
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/DemPrimary2008-PairedPrecinctStudy.pdf
"The Diebold Effect": Hillary's Votes Higher From Diebold Machines
Even Controlling for Demographics (education, income, population, etc)
http://scienceblogs.com/developingintelligence/2008/01/the_diebold_effect_hillarys_vo.php
NEW HAMPSHIRE RECOUNT SO FAR - FINDS ERRORS IN INSUFFICIENT AMOUNTS TO
REVERSE THE OUTCOME
NH Recount Finds Vote Count Errors, by Steven Rosenfeld, AlterNet.
January 17, 2008.
So far the errors highlight problems with electronic voting, but don't overturn Clinton's surprise victory.
http://www.alternet.org/democracy/74102/
To see the discrepancies between machine and hand counts - the NH SOS recount page:
http://www.sos.nh.gov/recountresults.htm
RECOUNT OF THE 2008 NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY ELECTION
Kucinich has decided to ask for a partial hand recount of New Hampshire's machine counts. My analysis shows that to confirm New Hampshire's close margin (less than 3% difference between Obama and Clinton) Democratic primary election results, a partial hand count would need to randomly select and hand count from 34% to 45% of New Hampshire's precincts - from 61 to 178 precincts - to give 95% confidence-level in the New Hampshire outcomes, depending on initial assumptions. The reason that this New Hampshire race requires such a large audit is due to the small race margin and the extreme variation in precinct sizes in New Hampshire - from 5,542 votes to 1 vote cast in each precinct. See the worksheet "95%Confidence-Level-Amt" in
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/Primary2008/NH2008Primary.xls
U.S. Representative Kucinich asks for a Recount of NH machine counts in the interest of election integrity
http://www.dennis4president.com/go/homepage-items/kucinich-asks-for-new-hampshire-recount-in-the-interest-of-election-integrity/
Kucinich is asking for donations to pay for the Democratic Primary recount
http://www.usalone.com/kucinich_constitution.php
A place to donate for the Republican Primary recount (Albert Howard) Nearly $60,000 isbeing charged to Howard who is a Black-American limousine driver and father of eight from Ann Arbor.
http://grannywarrior.chipin.com/recount
Recount cost could climb to $125,000 - New hand tally would start tomorrow
http://www.concordmonitor.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080115/FRONTPAGE/801150398
QUESTIONS THE PRESS COULD ASK DURING EACH ELECTION ARE:
Does this state conduct any publicly observable post-election independent manual counts to check the accuracy of machine counts? (This would require voter-created, or at least voter-checked, paper ballots.)
Were the detailed vote count data and raw polling data made publicly available immediately after the election for analysts to detect any possible suspicious patterns?
Were the invisibly-machine-counted vote counts checked? Are the machine counts provably correct?
Is there public oversight over chain of custody procedures for election records and ballots?
What are the state's procedures for securing paper ballot and election records; and how may the public participate?
DATA AVAILABLE FOR ANALYZING THE NEW HAMPSHIRE JANUARY 8, 2008 PRIMARY
ELECTION RESULTS
National Election Data Archive
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/2008Primary/
SOME NEW ARTICLES ON THE NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ELECTION
Guest Editorial: Live Free or Diebold
by Julian Davis‚ Jan. 14‚ 2008
http://www.beyondchron.org/articles/Guest_Editorial_Live_Free_or_Diebold_5264.html
Recounts good test of voting integrity, Editorial in Nashua Telegraph
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080114/OPINION01/609682470/-1/opinion
Silvestro the cat [who programs NH voting machines]/ NH voting
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiiaBqwqkXs
New Hampshire Exit Poll, LA Times, January 14, 2008
http://www.latimes.com/la-exitpoll-nh-graphic,0,7161708.htmlstory?coll=la-home-center
Chris Matthews Reported Mid-day polls put Obama ahead
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jo4pwCG23c
New Hampshire Recount Information
http://www.democracyfornewhampshire.com/node/view/5344
Ron Paul's campaign is finding suspicious discrepancies in the counts
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV6qAGigGYY&eurl=http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=120&topic_id=3779
Candidates say they can pay for recounts
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080115/NEWS08/383047012/-1/news
Kucinich Asks for New Hampshire Recount in the Interest of Election Integrity
By Dennis Kucinich Media Release January 10, 2008
http://www.votetrustusa.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=2711&Itemid=94
Let recount show N.H. gets its vote tallies right, Jan. 17
http://www.seacoastonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080117/OPINION/801170392/-1/NEWS19
Correction re: NH recount, HOW DOES NEW HAMPSHIRE'S RECOUNT CULTURE
FACILITATE RATHER THAN DETER ELECTION RIGGING? by Mark Crispin Miller
http://markcrispinmiller.blogspot.com/2008/01/correction-re-nh-recount.html
FYI: MOVING ON TO MARYLAND (WHICH, LIKE SOUTH CAROLINA, USES PAPERLESS
E-BALLOTS)
Company Connected to GOP and Romney Delivers Diebold Machines to Maryland Polls by Kim Zetter Email January 17, 2008
http://blog.wired.com/27bstroke6/2008/01/company-connect.html
PLEASE DONATE
US Count Votes, DBA National Election Data Archive urgently needs your donations if it is to continue its work to try to obtain public oversight over the integrity of election results via mandatory routine vote count audits and public access to election records and election data, and public oversight over ballot security procedures. Donating money to get out the vote efforts, to political candidates, or to efforts to educate voters on issues, makes little difference if votes
are not accurately counted. NEDA can not continue its efforts without funding.
http://electionarchive.org/fairelection/donate.html
THANK YOU. PLEASE PASS ON THIS ANNOUNCEMENT.
CONTACT: Kathy Dopp kathy@electionarchive.org 435-658-4657
--
Kathy Dopp, Executive Director, The National Election Data Archive
P.O. Box 682556
Park City, UT 84068
phone 435-658-4657
http://electionarchive.org
"The Diebold Effect": Hillary's Votes Higher From Diebold Machines
Even Controlling for Demographics (education, income, population, etc)
http://scienceblogs.com
NEW HAMPSHIRE RECOUNT SO FAR - FINDS ERRORS IN INSUFFICIENT AMOUNTS TO
REVERSE THE OUTCOME
NH Recount Finds Vote Count Errors, by Steven Rosenfeld, AlterNet.
January 17, 2008.
So far the errors highlight problems with electronic voting, but don't overturn Clinton's surprise victory.
http://www.alternet.org
To see the discrepancies between machine and hand counts - the NH SOS recount page:
http://www.sos.nh.gov/recountr
RECOUNT OF THE 2008 NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY ELECTION
Kucinich has decided to ask for a partial hand recount of New Hampshire's machine counts. My analysis shows that to confirm New Hampshire's close margin (less than 3% difference between Obama and Clinton) Democratic primary election results, a partial hand count would need to randomly select and hand count from 34% to 45% of New Hampshire's precincts - from 61 to 178 precincts - to give 95% confidence-level in the New Hampshire outcomes, depending on initial assumptions. The reason that this New Hampshire race requires such a large audit is due to the small race margin and the extreme variation in precinct sizes in New Hampshire - from 5,542 votes to 1 vote cast in each precinct. See the worksheet "95%Confidence-Level-Amt" in
http://electionarchive.org
U.S. Representative Kucinich asks for a Recount of NH machine counts in the interest of election integrity
http://www.dennis4president
Kucinich is asking for donations to pay for the Democratic Primary recount
http://www.usalone.com/kucinic
A place to donate for the Republican Primary recount (Albert Howard) Nearly $60,000 isbeing charged to Howard who is a Black-American limousine driver and father of eight from Ann Arbor.
http://grannywarrior.chipin
Recount cost could climb to $125,000 - New hand tally would start tomorrow
http://www.concordmonitor.com
QUESTIONS THE PRESS COULD ASK DURING EACH ELECTION ARE:
Does this state conduct any publicly observable post-election independent manual counts to check the accuracy of machine counts? (This would require voter-created, or at least voter-checked, paper ballots.)
Were the detailed vote count data and raw polling data made publicly available immediately after the election for analysts to detect any possible suspicious patterns?
Were the invisibly-machine-counted vote counts checked? Are the machine counts provably correct?
Is there public oversight over chain of custody procedures for election records and ballots?
What are the state's procedures for securing paper ballot and election records; and how may the public participate?
DATA AVAILABLE FOR ANALYZING THE NEW HAMPSHIRE JANUARY 8, 2008 PRIMARY
ELECTION RESULTS
National Election Data Archive
http://electionarchive.org
SOME NEW ARTICLES ON THE NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ELECTION
Guest Editorial: Live Free or Diebold
by Julian Davis‚ Jan. 14‚ 2008
http://www.beyondchron.org
Recounts good test of voting integrity, Editorial in Nashua Telegraph
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com
Silvestro the cat [who programs NH voting machines]/ NH voting
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v
New Hampshire Exit Poll, LA Times, January 14, 2008
http://www.latimes.com/la
Chris Matthews Reported Mid-day polls put Obama ahead
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v
New Hampshire Recount Information
http://www.democracyfornewhamp
Ron Paul's campaign is finding suspicious discrepancies in the counts
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v
Candidates say they can pay for recounts
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com
Kucinich Asks for New Hampshire Recount in the Interest of Election Integrity
By Dennis Kucinich Media Release January 10, 2008
http://www.votetrustusa.org
Let recount show N.H. gets its vote tallies right, Jan. 17
http://www.seacoastonline.com
Correction re: NH recount, HOW DOES NEW HAMPSHIRE'S RECOUNT CULTURE
FACILITATE RATHER THAN DETER ELECTION RIGGING? by Mark Crispin Miller
http://markcrispinmiller
FYI: MOVING ON TO MARYLAND (WHICH, LIKE SOUTH CAROLINA, USES PAPERLESS
E-BALLOTS)
Company Connected to GOP and Romney Delivers Diebold Machines to Maryland Polls by Kim Zetter Email January 17, 2008
http://blog.wired.com/27bstrok
PLEASE DONATE
US Count Votes, DBA National Election Data Archive urgently needs your donations if it is to continue its work to try to obtain public oversight over the integrity of election results via mandatory routine vote count audits and public access to election records and election data, and public oversight over ballot security procedures. Donating money to get out the vote efforts, to political candidates, or to efforts to educate voters on issues, makes little difference if votes
are not accurately counted. NEDA can not continue its efforts without funding.
http://electionarchive.org
THANK YOU. PLEASE PASS ON THIS ANNOUNCEMENT.
CONTACT: Kathy Dopp kathy@electionarchive.org 435-658-4657
--
Kathy Dopp, Executive Director, The National Election Data Archive
P.O. Box 682556
Park City, UT 84068
phone 435-658-4657
1 Comments:
At 2:43 PM, Anonymous said…
Correction: I had too hastily did not adjust the formulas to calculate
the total number of precincts in my spreadsheet which calculates audit
amounts to achieve 95% confidence-level (and I have a painful migraine
today which I hope excuses my earlier error).
The correct amount of a New Hampshire vote count audit to achieve 95%
confidence level is from 35% to 45% of New Hampshire's precincts -
from 82 to 106 of randomly-selected New Hampshire precincts out of a
total of 236 precincts.
Please accept my apologies for my mistakes. Below is the corrected
announcement in full:
-
BACKGROUND: NEW HAMPSHIRE'S UNAUDITED DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY
MACHINE-COUNTED ELECTION RESULTS SEEM SUSPICIOUS
The analysis of the National Election Data Archive
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/DemPrimary2008-PairedPrecinctStudy.pdf
"The Diebold Effect": Hillary's Votes Higher From Diebold Machines
Even Controlling for Demographics (education, income, population, etc)
http://scienceblogs.com/developingintelligence/2008/01/the_diebold_effect_hillarys_vo.php
NEW HAMPSHIRE RECOUNT SO FAR - FINDS ERRORS IN INSUFFICIENT AMOUNTS TO
REVERSE THE OUTCOME
NH Recount Finds Vote Count Errors, by Steven Rosenfeld, AlterNet.
January 17, 2008.
So far the errors highlight problems with electronic voting, but don't
overturn Clinton's surprise victory.
http://www.alternet.org/democracy/74102/
To see the discrepancies between machine and hand counts - the NH SOS
recount page:
http://www.sos.nh.gov/recountresults.htm
RECOUNT OF THE 2008 NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY ELECTION
Kucinich has decided to ask for a partial hand recount of New
Hampshire's machine counts. My analysis shows that to confirm New
Hampshire's close margin (less than 3% difference between Obama and
Clinton) Democratic primary election results, a partial hand count
would need to randomly select and hand count from 35% to 45% of New
Hampshire's precincts - from 82 to 106 of randomly-selected New
Hampshire precincts - to give 95% confidence-level in the New
Hampshire outcomes, depending on initial assumptions. The reason that
this New Hampshire race requires such a large audit is due to the
small race margin and the extreme variation in precinct sizes in New
Hampshire - from 5,542 votes to 1 vote cast in each precinct. See the
worksheet "95%Confidence-Level-Amt" in
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/Primary2008/NH2008Primary.xls
U.S. Representative Kucinich asks for a Recount of NH machine counts
in the interest of election integrity
http://www.dennis4president.com/go/homepage-items/kucinich-asks-for-new-hampshire-recount-in-the-interest-of-election-integrity/
Kucinich is asking for donations to pay for the Democratic Primary recount
http://www.usalone.com/kucinich_constitution.php
A place to donate for the Republican Primary recount (Albert Howard)
Nearly $60,000 isbeing charged to Howard who is a Black-American
limousine driver and father of eight from Ann Arbor.
http://grannywarrior.chipin.com/recount
Recount cost could climb to $125,000 - New hand tally would start tomorrow
http://www.concordmonitor.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080115/FRONTPAGE/801150398
QUESTIONS THE PRESS COULD ASK DURING EACH ELECTION ARE:
Does this state conduct any publicly observable post-election
independent manual counts to check the accuracy of machine counts?
(This would require voter-created, or at least voter-checked, paper
ballots.)
Were the detailed vote count data and raw polling data made publicly
available immediately after the election for analysts to detect any
possible suspicious patterns?
Were the invisibly-machine-counted vote counts checked? Are the
machine counts provably correct?
Is there public oversight over chain of custody procedures for
election records and ballots?
What are the state's procedures for securing paper ballot and election
records; and how may the public participate?
DATA AVAILABLE FOR ANALYZING THE NEW HAMPSHIRE JANUARY 8, 2008 PRIMARY
ELECTION RESULTS
National Election Data Archive
http://electionarchive.org/ucvData/NH/2008Primary/
SOME NEW ARTICLES ON THE NEW HAMPSHIRE DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY ELECTION
Guest Editorial: Live Free or Diebold
by Julian Davis‚ Jan. 14‚ 2008
http://www.beyondchron.org/articles/Guest_Editorial_Live_Free_or_Diebold_5264.html
Recounts good test of voting integrity, Editorial in Nashua Telegraph
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080114/OPINION01/609682470/-1/opinion
Silvestro the cat [who programs NH voting machines]/ NH voting
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiiaBqwqkXs
New Hampshire Exit Poll, LA Times, January 14, 2008
http://www.latimes.com/la-exitpoll-nh-graphic,0,7161708.htmlstory?coll=la-home-center
Chris Matthews Reported Mid-day polls put Obama ahead
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Jo4pwCG23c
New Hampshire Recount Information
http://www.democracyfornewhampshire.com/node/view/5344
Ron Paul's campaign is finding suspicious discrepancies in the counts
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qV6qAGigGYY&eurl=http://progressiveindependent.com/dc/dcboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=120&topic_id=3779
Candidates say they can pay for recounts
http://www.nashuatelegraph.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080115/NEWS08/383047012/-1/news
Kucinich Asks for New Hampshire Recount in the Interest of Election Integrity
By Dennis Kucinich Media Release January 10, 2008
http://www.votetrustusa.org/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=2711&Itemid=94
Let recount show N.H. gets its vote tallies right, Jan. 17
http://www.seacoastonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080117/OPINION/801170392/-1/NEWS19
Correction re: NH recount, HOW DOES NEW HAMPSHIRE'S RECOUNT CULTURE
FACILITATE RATHER THAN DETER ELECTION RIGGING? by Mark Crispin Miller
http://markcrispinmiller.blogspot.com/2008/01/correction-re-nh-recount.html
FYI: MOVING ON TO MARYLAND (WHICH, LIKE SOUTH CAROLINA, USES PAPERLESS
E-BALLOTS)
Company Connected to GOP and Romney Delivers Diebold Machines to
Maryland Polls by Kim Zetter EmailJanuary 17, 2008
http://blog.wired.com/27bstroke6/2008/01/company-connect.html
PLEASE DONATE
US Count Votes, DBA National Election Data Archive urgently needs your
donations if it is to continue its work to try to obtain public
oversight over the integrity of election results via mandatory routine
vote count audits and public access to election records and election
data, and public oversight over ballot security procedures. Donating
money to get out the vote efforts, to political candidates, or to
efforts to educate voters on issues, makes little difference if votes
are not accurately counted. NEDA can not continue its efforts without
funding.
http://electionarchive.org/fairelection/donate.html
THANK YOU. PLEASE PASS ON THIS ANNOUNCEMENT.
CONTACT: Kathy Dopp kathy@electionarchive.org 435-658-4657
--
Kathy Dopp, Executive Director, The National Election Data Archive
P.O. Box 682556
Park City, UT 84068
phone 435-658-4657
http://utahcountvotes.org
http://electionmathematics.org
http://electionarchive.org
History of Confidence Election Auditing Development & Overview of
Election Auditing Fundamentals
http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/paper-audits/History-of-Election-Auditing-Development.pdf
Vote Yes on HR811 and S2295
http://electionmathematics.org/VoteYesHR811.pdf
Voters Have Reason to Worry
http://utahcountvotes.org/UT/UtahCountVotes-ThadHall-Response.pdf
"Enlighten the people generally, and tyranny and oppressions of body
and mind will vanish like evil spirits at the dawn of day," wrote
Thomas Jefferson in 1816
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